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The upcoming 2024 NFL season is approaching fast, and bettors can already start making their NFL win totals picks. Elite teams are expected to hit around 10.5-11.5 win totals, while struggling teams will aim for 4.5 wins or so. Check out our live win totals odds, picks, and predictions below:
2024 NFL win totals odds
NFL win totals overs: Favor the Jets and Texans
Here are our top picks for teams likely to exceed their win totals:
2024 NFL win totals pick: New York Jets over 9.5 (-110)
The addition of Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets roster is expected to boost their performance significantly. With a stronger offensive line, a talented group of wide receivers, and Rodgers leading the team, the Jets are likely to improve on their seven wins from the previous season.
Having the 12th toughest schedule in the league, the Jets have opportunities to gain momentum early in the season with favorable matchups. Facing teams with rookie quarterbacks and a second-year QB in the first few games, the Jets have a good chance of surpassing their win total.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Houston Texans over 9.5 (-110)
The Houston Texans, led by C.J. Stroud, made impressive strides in the previous season and are expected to continue their success. With key additions to their offense and a solid backfield, the Texans are poised to exceed their win total once again.
With a weak AFC South division, the Texans have a favorable path to achieving more wins this season.
NFL win totals Unders: Avoid the Bengals and Bills
We recommend steering clear of these teams as we predict potential regression in their performances this season.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Cincinnati Bengals under 10.5 (-110)
The Cincinnati Bengals are facing uncertainties and challenges heading into the new season, making us hesitant to bet on them surpassing their win total. With key players missing and a tough division to compete in, the Bengals may struggle to reach the projected win total.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Buffalo Bills under 10.5 (-110)
Changes in the Buffalo Bills lineup, particularly in the receiving corps, could impact their performance negatively. With a new set of receivers, the Bills may struggle to replicate their past success, leading to a potential underperformance compared to their win total.
2023 NFL win totals results
Last season showed the challenges of exceeding the 11.5 regular-season wins mark in the NFL. Teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, Cincinnati Bengals, and even the Super Bowl champions, Kansas City Chiefs, fell short of their win total projections.
The top teams with more than 11 wins in the last season were the Baltimore Ravens, San Francisco 49ers, Dallas Cowboys, and Detroit Lions. Check out the complete list of NFL win totals results from last year.
Over Results
- Baltimore Ravens 8.5 (13-4)
- Buffalo Bills 10.5 (11-6)
- Cleveland Browns 8.5 (11-6)
- Dallas Cowboys 9.5 (12-5)
- Detroit Lions 9.5 (12-5)
- Green Bay Packers 7.5 (9-8)
- Houston Texans 6.5 (10-7)
- Indianapolis Colts 6.5 (9-8)
- Las Vegas Raiders 6.5 (8-9)
- Los Angeles Rams 7.5 (10-7)
- Miami Dolphins 9.5 (11-6)
- Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5 (10-7)
- San Francisco 49ers 11.5 (12-5)
- Seattle Seahawks 8.5 (9-8)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.5 (9-8)
Under results
- Arizona Cardinals 4.5 (4-13)
- Atlanta Falcons 7.5 (7-10)
- Carolina Panthers 7.5 (2-15)
- Chicago Bears 7.5 (7-10)
- Cincinnati Bengals 11.5 (9-8)
- Denver Broncos 8.5 (8-9)
- Jacksonville Jaguars 9.5 (9-8)
- Kansas City Chiefs 11.5 (11-6)
- Los Angeles Chargers 9.5 (5-12)
- Minnesota Vikings 8.5 (7-10)
- New England Patriots 7.5 (4-13)
- New Orleans Saints 9.5 (9-8)
- New York Giants 8.5 (6-11)
- New York Jets 9.5 (7-10)
- Philadelphia Eagles 11.5 (11-6)
- Tennessee Titans 7.5 (6-11)
- Washington Commanders 7.5 (4-13)
Best NFL win totals betting sites
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Ryan Hagen broke into the sports betting world early. As a 14-year-old, he sought out a kiosk clerk with relaxed gambling views and convinced him to sell him “Sport Select” tickets – which was the Canadian Lottery Corporation’s original sports betting program. He graduated from Royal Roads University in 2007 and has since combined his passion for sports and (legal) gambling into a career as a sports betting writer. He’s covered college sports, contributed to newspapers and magazines, and written for multiple sportsbooks and affiliates. Off the clock he can be found traveling, searching for noodles, or working on his golf swing.
