Climate change is impacting unexpected places, like the grocery store. In the past four years, food prices have increased by 25 percent, surprising Americans with higher costs for essentials like beef, sugar, and citrus.
A recent study published in Communications Earth & Environment highlights how extreme heat is raising food prices and predicts a further increase in the future. The analysis, as reported by Grist, suggests that “heatflation” could drive up global food prices by 3 percentage points per year within a decade, impacting North America by 2 percentage points. Extreme weather events could lead to an annual increase of 0.3 to 1.2 percentage points in overall inflation, depending on countries’ carbon emissions.
Gernot Wagner, a climate economist at Columbia Business School, emphasized the significant impact of these increases, comparing them to the Federal Reserve’s goal of 2 percent inflation. Recent data from the Labor Department shows a 3.2 percent rise in consumer prices over the past year.
The study connects rising food prices to extreme heat, citing examples like the 2022 heat waves in Europe that contributed to a record 9.2 percent inflation rate. By analyzing price indices from 121 countries over the past 25 years, researchers predict significant price shocks, especially in regions like North Africa and the Middle East, where hot temperatures stress crop production.
These findings point to a challenging future for food affordability, with climate change exacerbating inflation. The correlation between climate change and rising prices, termed “climateflation,” is becoming a prominent issue globally.
President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, signed in 2022, may hold even more significance now in light of these research findings. As the world grapples with the economic impacts of climate change, initiatives to reduce inflation and stabilize food prices are gaining importance.
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This story was produced by Grist and reviewed and distributed by Stacker Media.