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The 2024 Wimbledon Championships begin on July 1 and run through July 14 from the All England Club in London. Below, we preview the men’s draw and discuss 2024 Wimbledon odds and predictions to consider ahead of the only grass-court major of the season.
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2024 Wimbledon odds, preview, and picks: Sinner & Alcaraz favored, Djokovic’s status up in the air
The biggest storyline going into the 2024 Wimbledon Championships is perhaps whether seven-time champion Novak Djokovic (+400 or better, the third betting favorite at DraftKings) will even play.
Djokovic, very much an elder statesman at 37, underwent surgery to repair a torn meniscus on June 6. He traveled to London this week, practiced at Wimbledon, and posted encouraging videos of his workouts.
Carlos Alcaraz, who won the French Open, is knotted with No. 1 seed Jannik Sinner as the betting favorite at +175 (DraftKings), although Sinner is favored at some sites and Alcaraz at others, showing how close oddsmakers see the difference between the two.
Sinner is the world’s top-ranked player. He is 38-3 with four titles in 2024, including the Australian Open, the first major of the year. He is coming off a grass-court title in Helle, Germany. Sinner has a complete game, with few weaknesses. His serve is the third-best in the game, according to ATP stats. Sinner is a worthy top seed.
Four other top-10 seeds could make a serious run — fourth-seeded Alexander Zverev (+1400 or better), fifth-seeded Daniil Medvedev (+2000 or better), sixth-seeded Andrey Rublev (+5000), and seventh-seeded Hubert Hurkacz (+1600).
Hurkacz has the best serve in the game, according to ATP statistics. He lost to Djokovic in four sets in the round of 16 in 2023.
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic in five sets to win Wimbledon last year. The 21-year-old Spaniard is the new face of tennis, with three majors victories under his belt.
Alcaraz has one of the game’s best returns of serve, important on a surface that favors players with big serves. Alcaraz plays with confidence and has proven himself under the pressure of a major tournament. He is the man to beat in London.
In what could be a preview of the next decade of championship tennis, Alcaraz rallied from a 2-1 set deficit to defeat Sinner in five sets in the French Open semifinals.
Djokovic said he will play Wimbledon if he can be a serious contender. He has reached the final the past five years and, injury or not, cannot be overlooked. He has advanced to the Wimbledon finals nine times in the last 12 years.
Men’s Wimbledon long shot picks: Look at Tommy Paul, Sebastian Korda
We have two Americans to consider. Their odds are long but they have big-serving games and could make some noise on the lightning-fast grass courts.
Paul won the premier Wimbledon tuneup tournament, the Queen’s Club, last weekend. He was the first American champion since Sam Querrey in 2010.
Other American Queen’s Club champions include Wimbledon champions Pete Sampras, John McEnroe and Jimmy Connors. Paul reached Wimbledon’s third round last year. In 2022, he reached the fourth round. Paul is the 12th seed this year.
Korda is the 20th seed. He is the brother of LPGA golfing stars Jessica and Nelly Korda, and the son of former tennis player Petr Korda, the 1998 Australian Open champion.
Sebastian considers himself one of the best grass-court players in the world, despite his first-round loss at last year’s Wimbledon. He lost to Paul in the Queen’s Club semifinals, 6-4, 7-6 (2), so he has the game.
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Chuck Bausman is a sports betting writer at Gaming Today. Bausman has worked 30+ years in journalism and is a former executive sports editor of the Philadelphia Daily News and managing editor of Philly Hockey Now. He is a journalism professor at Rider University.
