2025 Chiefs Super Bowl odds & predictions

The NFL is inching closer to the start of the 2024 regular season as teams and players around the league report to their respective facilities for training camps, and there’s no better time to make some early 2025 Super Bowl predictions before odds continue to change.

Thirty teams will be out to chase the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, the reigning conference champions and Super Bowl participants. A quarterback-heavy rookie class will also get its first crack at making the history books, while several key stars are eager to get back on the field following major injuries last year.

With players back in the building, here are our Super Bowl LIX bets based on where the odds stand now.

The Chiefs (+550 at BetMGM) and Niners (+650) unsurprisingly lead the way in Super Bowl odds. 

The Niners could fall a bit depending on the outcome of Brandon Aiyuk’s Tuesday trade request, though they are stockpiled with talent and took KC to overtime in the Super Bowl.

The Baltimore Ravens (+1000) and the Detroit Lions (+1200), the reigning conference runner-ups, are third and fourth in odds. The Ravens made a splash by signing Derrick Henry, while the Lions invested heavily in mending their weak pass defense.

The third tier of contenders is crowded with teams that have shown elite upside: the Cincinnati Bengals (+1400), Philadelphia Eagles (+1400), Buffalo Bills (+1500), Houston Texans (+1500), Green Bay Packers (+1600) and Dallas Cowboys (+1600). 

Aaron Rodgers’ New York Jets (+2200) lead the fourth tier and the rest of the league, some of which will be tough outs in the playoffs while others will be doomed to mediocrity after a couple of months of football.

The additions of wide receivers Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and rookie Xavier Worthy will allow Patrick Mahomes to air the ball out like he did in the first few years of his career. The offensive line is solid, and Andy Reid is arguably the best coach in the league when it comes to scheming up intricate offensive game plans.  

Defensively, the Chiefs ranked second in points, yards and sacks a year ago. They lost L’Jarius Sneed but have a track record of curating and developing elite secondary talent. They’ll also get Nick Bolton back and fully healthy sitting behind a recently paid Chris Jones.

The Chiefs made the AFC Championship Game every year Mahomes has been a starter and won 50% of possible Super Bowls. Don’t make the mistake of doubting them.

Joe Burrow was out of sight and out of mind last year, but he’s still the second- (or, at worst, third-) best quarterback in the league. An offseason of rest and relaxation will do him good as he looks to return from a season-ending wrist injury..

The Bengals bolstered their offensive line in recent years and have one of the league’s best one-two punches at wideout with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Their defensive front has also proven to be disruptive, while the secondary added seven interceptions in the form of safety Geno Stone (formerly of the Ravens).

Cincy needs to keep Burrow upright to have a chance, but they already beat the Chiefs in an AFC Championship Game and are explosive enough to cause problems for the top teams in both conferences. 

We know what you’re thinking … “There’s no way you’re serious, right?”

We’re dead serious — there’s no true long shot on the board with better value than the Bears.

Chi-town’s finest went 7-6 after a woeful 0-4 start to the year despite enduring some of the worst quarterback play in the league. They also gave up just 17.8 points per game in nine games after their trade for Montez Sweat, an average that would have ranked third in the NFL if applied to the entire season.

Caleb Williams is a rookie, but he’s stepping into the best situation (from a weapons perspective) a rookie has ever had. He’s also a generational prospect who has been likened to Mahomes, and the NFC is a fairly thin conference overall. 

This is by no means should be the expectation, but it’s on the board of possibilities — and that makes it valuable.

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