Buffalo Bills’ 2024 Win Total Odds and Predictions

The 2024 National Football League season is rapidly approaching and there’s no better time to analyze sportsbook futures such as NFL win total odds. Here, we focus on the Buffalo Bills as they seek a fifth straight AFC East championship.

The offense begins life without Stefon Diggs, along with several key defensive pieces. Will QB Josh Allen be able to elevate a team that has been on the cusp, but hasn’t been able to break through? Keep reading for our Buffalo Bills win total pick for this season. 

Buffalo’s initial win total was set at 10.5, and currently the juice is shaded toward the under (-150) at BetMGM (Over is +125). If you use an alternate total of 9.5, the over is -160 and the under is +130.

The Bills head into the 2024 NFL season with a new-look roster. Stefon Diggs, Jordan Poyer and Tre’Davious White headline the list of players who found new homes in the offseason, while star linebacker Matt Milano will miss the start of the year following an injury during training camp. 

This comes as no surprise, but Buffalo will go as far as Josh Allen takes it. That fact is encouraging because of his immense talent, but it also has to give you some pause given his turnover-prone history. 

The Bills will get four tough divisional matchups with the Dolphins and Jets. They’ll also have to navigate road games against the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans in Weeks 4 and 5, a home battle against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 11 and another home bout with the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13.

Without a few big-name players who called Buffalo home over the last few years, the Bills are going to need to execute within the margins. 

Buffalo has won at least 11 games in each of the last four seasons. There’s a path to 11 wins if Allen has an MVP-type year, but anything less than that could make it difficult to reach double digits.

Allen is a star QB and a powerful runner who never shies away from contact, but that puts his health in jeopardy, especially with the demand he will be under.

From a betting perspective, that means reducing your Bills win total to over 8.5 (-250) or over 9.5 (-160) to be safe, despite the fact that an over 10.5 (+125) has more value. If you’re not as bullish going into this season, an under 10.5 (-155) could theoretically win your bet and see Buffalo wind up a playoff team at the same time. 

Whichever line you choose, shop around the top NFL betting sites for the best odds.

Combine all of this with the team having to play one of the 10-hardest schedules in the league and there’s reason to believe the Bills could have a difficult road in 2024 compared to recent seasons. 

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