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The 2024 National Football League season is rapidly approaching and there’s no better time to analyze sportsbook futures such as NFL win total odds. Here, we focus on the Green Bay Packers.
Jordan Love led Green Bay to a road playoff win in his first season as the full-time starter, causing many to pen the Packers as the team best poised to make a leap in 2024.
Will the Packers continue to fulfill their potential or will their youth cause them to take a step back? Continue reading for our Packers win total pick for the upcoming season:
Green Bay’s win total is set at 9.5 with the juice shaded toward the over (-135) at DraftKings (Under is +115).
The Packers are one of the youngest teams in the entire league. Their star quarterback, Love, also has just one year of starting experience under his belt, which is why many are still hesitant to buy their stock.
Love had a great first two weeks of the season, then was fairly poor for a month and a half. After that, he racked up 25 total touchdowns and only three interceptions over the final 10 games of the 2023 season. He won’t be handing the ball off to Aaron Jones anymore, but he now has a 26-year-old Josh Jacobs at his side.
Green Bay plays in what is expected to be one of the toughest divisions in football, the NFC North. The Minnesota Vikings appear to be the obvious last-place finisher to-be, but the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears should both be tough opponents.
Aside from divisional matchups, the Packers’ toughest games will be in Week 1 against the Eagles, Week 5 at the Rams, Week 7 against the Texans and Week 12 against the 49ers.
The results of those games will play a major role in determining if they go over or under the 9.5-win projection.
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According to our estimates, the Packers can lose nearly all of their “hard” games and still hit 10 wins.
In order to do that, they need to go 3-3 in the division and pick up two wins against the Colts, Rams, Texans, Jaguars, 49ers and Lions. That’s assuming they take care of business against the lesser opponents.
Notably, the Packers beat the Rams, Chiefs and Lions last year. The general expectation is that they will be even better this year due to their newfound experience, along with important additions such as Jacobs and Xavier McKinney.
Green Bay’s defense ranked 13th in points allowed per game and was only .4 off of a top-10 ranking. If they’re anything like the team they were in 2023, they have a great chance of hitting the over.
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Grant is a Virginia-based writer for Catena Media who graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 with a degree in sports media & analytics. He has contributed to well-known publications such as Forbes, and appeared on the VSiN TV network.
